Are you ready for the coming storm?

Political Risk, Forecasting, and Security Training

  • Byrsa can provide you with tailored country reports with specific focus on any political, economic, societal, or intuitional aspect. We can provide both remote and more intensive in-person analysis based on time and budget.

  • Our team has developed a series of statistical forecasting methodologies based on our collective experience analyzing politics across the globe. We can tailor any of our methodologies to fit your needs.

  • We’ve provided security training in a variety of contexts, including failed states and active war zones. Our team can conduct custom security audits of your organization related to operational, physical, and cyber security.

  • Identification is only half the battle. Byrsa can provide tailored trainings to your organization in digital hygiene (cyber security), physical and operational security.

As the United States adopts a more selective approach to international engagement, companies that once relied on predictable diplomatic backing and clear policy signals now face unprecedented challenges. This recalibration - evident in everything from trade policy to reduced multilateral commitments - coincides with rising populist movements, coalition instability, and policy volatility across traditional allied nations, creating a more fragmented and unpredictable global environment where traditional risk assessment models no longer suffice.

America's step back from its traditional role is accelerating a broader reconfiguration of international power structures. Regional blocs are consolidating around new centers of influence, from China's expanding sphere in Asia, Africa, and the Near East, to Europe's quest for strategic autonomy from the United States. Meanwhile middle powers increasingly chart independent courses. Simultaneously, the domestic politics of developed nations are becoming more fractured and unpredictable, with traditional center left and right parties unable to maintain the popular support they once took for granted.

To compound this, the State Department’s decimation of its own political forecasting abilities is already leading to more uncertainty in our ability to predict upheaval. For U.S. firms, this means operating in markets where not only can American influence no longer be counted on, but where host country policies may shift more dramatically. 

While these shifts present significant challenges, they also create opportunities for agile firms that can adapt quickly to changing circumstances. At Byrsa Advisors, we help American businesses not only navigate this new reality but capitalize on it through comprehensive political risk assessment and tailored mitigation strategies. Our team combines global expertise with extensive networks and analytical frameworks to identify emerging opportunities while protecting existing investments. Organizations that develop sophisticated political risk capabilities with experienced partners will gain decisive competitive advantages over less prepared rivals. In an era where self-reliance has replaced diplomatic assurance, we ensure your business doesn't just survive this transition—it thrives within the emerging global landscape.